Global warming is already harming people in the US These maps show how Americans’ climate change beliefs, risk perceptions, and policy support vary at the state, congressional district, metro area, and county levels. For example, for the question measuring how worried respondents are about global warming, “very worried” and “somewhat worried” were combined into a single measure of “worried.” Likewise “Not very worried” and “Not at all worried” were combined into a single measure of “not worried.” The responses below are color coded to indicate how they were grouped into the variables shown on the maps. Recently, you may have noticed that global warming has been getting some attention in the news. ... • This article was amended on 10 February and 14 May 2020. How much do you support or oppose the following policy? Provide tax rebates Set strict carbon dioxide emission limits on existing coal-fired power plants to reduce global warming and improve public health. As a result, we recommend caution when interpreting any changes over time using different versions of our model, because we can’t distinguish between what is a true shift in actual opinion between 2014, 2016, 2018, and 2019, and what reflects the model’s improved ability to map climate opinions at the local scale. Will it be the single most important issue, one of several important issues, or not important in determining your vote? This site provides estimates of U.S. climate change beliefs, risk perceptions, and policy preferences at the state and local levels – a new source of high-resolution data on public opinion that can inform national, state and local decision-making, policy, and education initiatives. (2016). This license will terminate (1) automatically without notice from the YPCCC if you fail to comply with the provisions of this agreement, or (2) upon written notice (by e-mail, U.S. or otherwise) from the YPCCC. Please use the following citation in any work that makes use of the data and documentation as follows: Howe, Peter D., Matto Mildenberger, Jennifer R. Marlon, and Anthony Leiserowitz (2015). Home / Visualizations & Data / Yale Climate Opinion Maps 2020. Your local officials should do more to address global warming Set strict CO2 limits on existing coal-fired power plants For more information, please visit NCEI's Global Surface Temperature Anomalies page. These confidence intervals indicate that the 2020 model is accurate to approximately ±7 percentage points at the state and congressional district levels, and ±8 percentage points at the metro and county levels. Do you think the following should be doing more or less to address global warming? The model estimates were then compared to the results of the set aside respondents to directly quantify the percentage of correct answers the model predicted. Temperature anomalies for land and ocean are analyzed separately and then merged to form the global analysis. Your Governor should do more to address global warming THE USER ASSUMES ALL RISK ASSOCIATED WITH USE OF THE DATA AND AGREES THAT IN NO EVENT SHALL YALE BE LIABLE TO YOU OR ANY THIRD PARTY FOR ANY INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, PUNITIVE OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, DAMAGES FOR THE INABILITY TO USE EQUIPMENT OR ACCESS DATA, LOSS OF BUSINESS, LOSS OF REVENUE OR PROFITS, BUSINESS INTERRUPTIONS, LOSS OF INFORMATION OR DATA, OR OTHER FINANCIAL LOSS, ARISING OUT OF THE USE OF, OR INABILITY TO USE, THE DATA BASED ON ANY THEORY OF LIABILITY INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, BREACH OF CONTRACT, BREACH OF WARRANTY, TORT (INCLUDING NEGLIGENCE), OR OTHERWISE, EVEN IF USER HAS BEEN ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES. Climate change, pandemic and social injustice are deeply interconnected and must be seen through a 360 degree lens so we can drive for systemic solutions. Upon termination of this agreement, you agree to destroy all copies of any Data, in whole or in part and in any and all media, in your custody and control. Global warming is happening Click on your city, and the map will pinpoint a modern analog city that matches what your climate may be in 2080. We can now estimate public opinion across the country and a rich picture of the diversity of Americans’ beliefs, attitudes, and policy support is revealed. The average position of the upper-level ridges of high pressure and troughs of low pressure—depicted by positive and negative 500-millibar height anomalies on the March 2020 map—is generally reflected by areas of positive and negative temperature anomalies at the surface, respectively. A series of detailed maps have laid bare the scale of possible forest ... an EEA expert in climate change impacts and adaptation. These data are distributed under the following terms of use. How much do you think global warming will harm people in developing countries? As communities become more prepared, and as demographics change, so too will the maps. Millions of Americans just woke up in a flood zone that had never before been listed on FEMA maps. Our team of scientists, however, has developed a geographic and statistical model to downscale national public opinion results to the state, congressional district, and county levels. Corporations and industry should do more to address global warming The estimates are derived from a statistical model using multilevel regression with post-stratification (MRP) on a large national survey dataset (n>25,000), along with demographic and geographic population characteristics. ... 2020 in a dead heat for warmest year on record. For the 2020 model estimates, uncertainty ranges are based on 95% confidence intervals using 999 bootstrap simulations. As is typical, precipitation anomalies during November 2020 varied significantly around the world. ProPublica is a nonprofit newsroom that investigates abuses of power. Climate Change AI Catalyzing impactful work at the intersection of climate change and machine learning News and events. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2583. This version of the Yale Climate Opinion Maps is based on data through spring 2020. Do you think the following should be doing more or less to address global warming? Schools should teach about global warming  The percentile map on the right provides additional information by placing the temperature anomaly observed for a specific place and time period into historical perspective, showing how the most current month, season or year compares with the past. Regulate CO2 as a pollutant Part of the problem is keeping the maps up to date, which is not only costly and labor intensive, but further complicated as climate change has worsened the dangers. Public opinion about global warming is an important influence on decision making about policies to reduce global warming or prepare for the impacts, but American opinions vary widely depending on where people live. We’re already seeing the effects of climate change, but thankfully, the planet is equipped with a powerful tool for stabilizing the climate: nature itself. Notwithstanding the foregoing, you may incorporate limited portions of the Data in scholarly, research or academic publications or for the purposes of news reporting, provided you acknowledge the source of the Data (with express references to the YPCCC, as well as the complete title of the report) and include the following legend: The YPCCC bears no responsibility for the analyses or interpretations of the data presented here. The availability of 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2019 estimates prompts questions about what has changed between these years in particular places. Public opinion polling is generally done at the national level, because local level polling is very costly and time intensive. Meanwhile 70% in neighboring Grand County, Utah believe global warming is happening. From our surveys, we know that public opinion on some questions has shifted over this period at the national level. The YPCCC hereby grants to the User a non-exclusive, revocable, limited, non-transferable license to use the Data solely for (1) research, scholarly or academic purposes, (2) the internal use of your business, or (3) your own personal non-commercial use. How much do you support or oppose the following policies? Which comes closest to your own view? Such error ranges include the error inherent in the original national surveys themselves, which is typically ±3 percentage points. If you do not agree to be bound by these terms, do not download or use the Data. by Al Shaw, Abrahm Lustgarten, ProPublica, and Jeremy W. Goldsmith, Special to ProPublica, September 15, 2020. The mean absolute difference between model estimates and validation survey results was 2.9 percentage points (SD = 1.5) among the four states (CA, TX, OH, CO) and 3.6 percentage points (SD = 2.9) among the two metropolitan areas (Columbus, OH, and San Francisco, CA), well within the margins of error for the survey results alone (at a 95% confidence level). Temperature anomalies and percentiles are shown on the gridded maps below. These maps show how Americans’ interest in news stories about climate change vary at the state, congressional district, and county levels. However, in the event that you discover any such Personally Identifying Information in the Data, you shall immediately notify the YPCCC and refrain from using any such Personally Identifying Information. The YPCCC has taken measures to ensure that the Data is devoid of information that could be used to identify individuals (e.g., names, telephone numbers, email addresses, social security numbers) who participated in or who were the subject of any research surveys or studies used to collect the Data (“Personally Identifying Information”). About Downscaling Climate Opinions This version of the Yale Climate Opinion Maps is based on data from autumn 2020. The cost of electricity to consumers and companies would likely increase. – 69% of the 355 extreme weather events and trends included in the map were found to be made more likely or more severe by human-caused climate change. Polyester fibres are being found in … Power plants would have to reduce their emissions and/or invest in renewable energy and energy efficiency. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) proposes two hypothetical future scenarios. How much do you think global warming will harm future generations of people? How much do you support or oppose the following policies? How often do you hear about global warming in the media? Explore the maps by clicking on your state, congressional district, or county and compare the results across questions and with other geographic areas. Direct any questions to the YPCCC at climatechange@yale.edu. Explore a range of easy-to-understand climate maps in a single interface. Individuals who responded “Don’t know” or who did not answer the question were not modeled separately and appear as gray segments within the bar charts. How much do you support or oppose the following policies? Our estimates were validated using three different methods. We are very grateful to Connie Roser-Renouf, Ed Maibach, Lisa Fernandez, Eric Fine, Bessie Schwarz, Mike Slattery, and Seth Rosenthal for their assistance with and support of the project. New Climate Maps Show a Transformed United States. Do you think the following should be doing more or less to address global warming? Require utilities to produce 20% electricity from renewable sources Global warming will harm plants and animals  may be underestimated. How worried are you about global warming? Do you think each of these issues should be a low, medium, high, or very high priority for the next president and Congress? Require electric utilities to produce at least 20% of their electricity from wind, solar, or other renewable energy sources, even if it costs the average household an extra $100 a year. And welcome to 2020, the year of a pandemic, climate change, racial tensions and, ... surging sea levels and shifting weather patterns will redraw the map of the U.S. 2020 is the year carbon emissions are supposed to peak, the year the Green Climate Fund should reach its target of mobilising $100 billion a year, the year actions states committed to in their nationally determined contributions (NDCs) are due to start, and the year more ambitious NDCs are to … Provide tax rebates for people who purchase energy-efficient vehicles or solar panels. First, cross-validation analyses were conducted within the dataset. All the latest news about Climate change from the BBC. Global warming will harm future generations Regulate carbon dioxide (the primary greenhouse gas) as a pollutant. In addition, our model tends to be conservative when making estimates, especially for places with smaller populations (where there are likely to be fewer survey respondents), so variations over time between states, counties, etc. TAKING STOCK. When do you think global warming will start to harm people in the United States? Third, some model estimates were compared with third-party survey data collected by other researchers in previous years. GIS Map Application 20 Nov 2020 The map reflects the most ... the EEA and its European Topic Centre for Climate Change Mitigation and Energy (ETC/CME) produce each year a set of early estimates concerning the RES shares achieved by the countries and the EU as a whole in the previous year. Global warming is caused mostly by human activities Select two options from the dropdown menus below to get started. How much do you support or oppose the following policies? See the methods page for more information about uncertainty estimates. Expand offshore drilling for oil and natural gas off the U.S. coast What do you think: Do you think that global warming is happening? How strongly do you agree or disagree with the statement below? ... 2020 This visualization shows the annual Arctic sea ice minimum since 1979. We measure the impact of climate change by the extent to which it could disrupt or destroy human life, as well as physical and natural capital. Homepage. Our new YCOM model estimates, however, show that only 50% of people in Emery County, Utah agree. Assuming global warming is happening, do you think it is… ? Schools should teach our children about the causes, consequences, and potential solutions to global warming. Federal maps underestimate the number of homes and businesses in significant danger by 67%. This is a legal agreement between you, the end-user (“User”) and Yale University on behalf of the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication (the “YPCCC”). Accessibility links. Averaged as a whole, the global land and ocean surface temperature for March 2020 was 1.16°C (2.09°F) above the 20th century average of 12.7°C (54.9°F) and the second highest in the 141-year record. These cross-validation tests were repeated multiple times using different sample sizes and dividing the data in different ways. Climate change fell out of the public eye as COVID-19 took over the world. Do you think the following should be doing more or less to address global warming? Climate Projections. Thus, estimated shifts in public opinion at the subnational level since 2014 may be due not only to opinion changes, but also changes in demographics and other variables that we are using to model opinions. Researchers are starting to predict where they’ll go. Site by Constructive, A program of The Yale School of the Environment, Howe, P., Mildenberger, M., Marlon, J., & Leiserowitz, A. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2583, George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication, None of the above because global warming isn’t happening, Most scientists think global warming is not happening. Other European Information Systems: Second, the model estimates derived from the full dataset were compared to the results of independent, representative state- and city-level surveys conducted in California, Colorado, Ohio, Texas, San Francisco, and Columbus, Ohio in 2013. How much do you support or oppose the following policies? You further agree to submit to the jurisdiction and venue of the courts of the State of Connecticut for any dispute relating to this Agreement. Only March 2016 was warmer at 1.31°C (2.36°F). Model estimates in the maps were derived from public responses to the following survey questions. Do you think the following should be doing more or less to address global warming? How much do you think global warming will harm you personally? “Geographic variation in opinions on climate change at state and local scales in the USA.” Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate2583. Worried about global warming The anomaly map on the left is a product of a merged land surface temperature (Global Historical Climatology Network, GHCN) and sea surface temperature (ERSST version 5) anomaly analysis. Climate change in Japan is already affecting Japan, and the Japanese government is increasingly enacting policy to respond.. This color-coded map shows a progression of changing global surface temperatures since 1884. Validating models is essential for producing accurate results. The response categories for many questions were collapsed into a single variable for mapping. THE DATA IS PROVIDED “AS IS” WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EITHER EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, ARISING BY LAW OR OTHERWISE, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO WARRANTIES OF COMPLETENESS,  NON-INFRINGEMENT, ACCURACY, MERCHANTABILITY, OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. In some cases, numbers that should sum to 100% or differences from the national average that should sum to zero are off by one percentage point; these effects are due to rounding errors. Why we can’t tackle the crises of 2020 in isolation. The maps shown above represent precipitation percent of normal (left, using a base period of 1961–1990) and precipitation percentiles (right, using the period of record) based on the GHCN dataset of land surface stations. This research and website are funded by the Skoll Global Threats Fund, the Energy Foundation, the 11th Hour Project, the Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment, the MacArthur Foundation, the Overlook Foundation and the Endeavor Foundation. A TERRIFYING map has shown how much of the UK could be submerged underwater by 2050 if action is not taken on climate change. This version of the Yale Climate Opinion Maps is based on data through spring 2020. All the latest news about Climate change from the BBC. NASA has released data showing how temperature and rainfall patterns worldwide may change through the year 2100 because of growing concentrations of greenhouse gases in Earth’s atmosphere. Beneath each map are bar charts displaying the results for every question at whichever geographic scale is currently selected. Visualise data on the map The Climate Change Laws of the World map helps you visualise our data by showing climate laws, policies and litigation cases (content – left dropdown) in relation to key contextual indicators (context – right dropdown). You may not reproduce, sell, rent, lease, loan, distribute or sublicense or otherwise transfer any Data, in whole or in part, to any other party, or use the Data to create any derived product for resale, lease or license. Citizens themselves should do more to address global warming The European Climate Adaptation Platform Climate-ADAPT is a partnership between the European Commission and the European Environment Agency. Estimates have also been validated internally through a series of technical simulations. Categories for many questions were collapsed into a single interface a dead heat for year. Our new YCOM model estimates were compared with third-party survey data collected by researchers. The world been getting some attention in the US When do you think global warming do you or. And then merged to form the global analysis is not taken on Climate change and machine learning news and.. 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